2 papers
cs.SI2023
Proof of principle for a self-governing prediction and forecasting reward algorithm
J. O. Gonzalez-Hernandez, Jonathan Marino, Ted Rogers +1
We use Monte Carlo techniques to simulate an organized prediction competition between a group of a scientific experts acting under the influence of a ``self-governing'' prediction…
physics.soc-ph2022
A self-governing, self-regulating system for assessing scientific predictive power
Ted C. Rogers
I propose a method for tracking and assessing scientific progress using a prediction consensus algorithm designed for the purpose. The protocol obviates the need for centralized re…