activity
20202026
most citedUsing Machine Learning to Calibrate Storm-Scale Probabilistic Guidance of Severe Weather Hazards in the Warn-on-Forecast System

67 citations · 94 across the 7 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

8 papers

physics.ao-ph2026

reGRAF: a global MPAS reforecast data set with convection-allowing refinements over the US and Europe

Thomas M Hamill, Akshay Subramaniam, Montgomery Flora +8

NVIDIA and The Weather Company (TWC) have generated a data set of reforecasts from TWC's GRAF (Global high-Resolution Atmospheric Forecasting) model, a version of the National Cent…

cs.LG2026

Extreme Weather Bench: A framework and benchmark for evaluation of high-impact weather

Amy McGovern, Taylor Mandelbaum, Daniel Rothenberg +6

Forecasting the wide variety of high-impact weather events experienced globally is a challenge for both Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models a…

physics.ao-ph2026

Developing Machine Learning-Based Watch-to-Warning Severe Weather Guidance from the Warn-on-Forecast System

Montgomery Flora, Samuel Varga, Corey Potvin +1

While machine learning (ML) post-processing of convection-allowing model (CAM) output for severe weather hazards (large hail, damaging winds, and/or tornadoes) has shown promise fo…

physics.ao-ph2025★ 2 cited

HRRRCast: a data-driven emulator for regional weather forecasting at convection allowing scales

Daniel Abdi, Isidora Jankov, Paul Madden +5

The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model is a convection-allowing model used in operational weather forecasting across the contiguous United States (CONUS). To provide a comp…

cs.CL2024★ 1 cited

Pixels and Predictions: Potential of GPT-4V in Meteorological Imagery Analysis and Forecast Communication

John R. Lawson, Joseph E. Trujillo-Falcón, David M. Schultz +5

Generative AI, such as OpenAI's GPT-4V large-language model, has rapidly entered mainstream discourse. Novel capabilities in image processing and natural-language communication may…

cs.LG2022★ 11 cited

Comparing Explanation Methods for Traditional Machine Learning Models Part 2: Quantifying Model Explainability Faithfulness and Improvements with Dimensionality Reduction

Montgomery Flora, Corey Potvin, Amy McGovern +1

Machine learning (ML) models are becoming increasingly common in the atmospheric science community with a wide range of applications. To enable users to understand what an ML model…

stat.ML2022★ 13 cited

Comparing Explanation Methods for Traditional Machine Learning Models Part 1: An Overview of Current Methods and Quantifying Their Disagreement

Montgomery Flora, Corey Potvin, Amy McGovern +1

With increasing interest in explaining machine learning (ML) models, the first part of this two-part study synthesizes recent research on methods for explaining global and local as…

physics.ao-ph2020★ 67 cited

Using Machine Learning to Calibrate Storm-Scale Probabilistic Guidance of Severe Weather Hazards in the Warn-on-Forecast System

Montgomery Flora, Corey K. Potvin, Patrick S. Skinner +2

A primary goal of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Warn-on-Forecast (WoF) project is to provide rapidly updating probabilistic guidance to human forecaste…