7 papers
Uncertainty Quantification for Regression: A Unified Framework based on kernel scores
Christopher Bülte, Yusuf Sale, Gitta Kutyniok +1
Regression tasks, notably in safety-critical domains, require reliable uncertainty quantification, yet the literature remains largely classification-focused. To address this, we in…
An Axiomatic Assessment of Entropy- and Variance-based Uncertainty Quantification in Regression
Christopher Bülte, Yusuf Sale, Timo Löhr +3
Uncertainty quantification is crucial in machine learning, yet most (axiomatic) studies of uncertainty measures focus on classification, leaving a gap in regression settings with l…
Using Distributional Regression Networks to Retrieve Cloud Properties from Solar Satellite Channels for Data Assimilation
Stefano Franzoni, Christopher Bülte, Leonhard Scheck +2
Satellite observations in the solar spectrum (including visible and near-infrared channels) offer high-resolution information on clouds and atmospheric properties valuable for data…
Modeling Spatial Extremal Dependence of Precipitation Using Distributional Neural Networks
Christopher Bülte, Lisa Leimenstoll, Melanie Schienle
In this work, we propose a simulation-based estimation approach using generative neural networks to determine dependencies of precipitation maxima and their underlying uncertainty…
Improved probabilistic regression using diffusion models
Carlo Kneissl, Christopher Bülte, Philipp Scholl +1
Probabilistic regression models the entire predictive distribution of a response variable, offering richer insights than classical point estimates and directly allowing for uncerta…
Graph Neural Networks for Enhancing Ensemble Forecasts of Extreme Rainfall
Christopher Bülte, Sohir Maskey, Philipp Scholl +2
Climate change is increasing the occurrence of extreme precipitation events, threatening infrastructure, agriculture, and public safety. Ensemble prediction systems provide probabi…