activity
20212026
most citedHigher Order Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation

4 citations · 5 across the 8 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

8 papers

stat.ML2026

Calibeating Prediction-Powered Inference

Lars van der Laan, Mark Van Der Laan

We study semisupervised mean estimation with a small labeled sample, a large unlabeled sample, and a black-box prediction model whose output may be miscalibrated. A standard approa…

stat.ML2026

A Researcher's Guide to Empirical Risk Minimization

Lars van der Laan

This guide provides a reference for high-probability regret bounds in empirical risk minimization (ERM). The presentation is modular: we begin with intuition and general proof stra…

stat.ME2025

Undersmoothed LASSO Models for Propensity Score Weighting and Synthetic Negative Control Exposures for Bias Detection

Richard Wyss, Ben B. Hansen, Georg Hahn +2

The propensity score (PS) is often used to control for large numbers of covariates in high-dimensional healthcare database studies. The least absolute shrinkage and selection opera…

stat.ME2025

Nonparametric Instrumental Variable Inference with Many Weak Instruments

Lars van der Laan, Nathan Kallus, Aurélien Bibaut

We study inference on linear functionals in the nonparametric instrumental variable (NPIV) problem with a discretely-valued instrument under a many-weak-instruments asymptotic regi…

stat.ME2025

Automatic Debiased Machine Learning for Smooth Functionals of Nonparametric M-Estimands

Lars van der Laan, Aurelien Bibaut, Nathan Kallus +1

We develop a unified framework for automatic debiased machine learning (autoDML) for inference on a broad class of statistical parameters. The framework applies to any smooth funct…

stat.ME2024★ 1 cited

Stabilized Inverse Probability Weighting via Isotonic Calibration

Lars van der Laan, Ziming Lin, Marco Carone +1

Inverse weighting with an estimated propensity score is widely used by estimation methods in causal inference to adjust for confounding bias. However, directly inverting propensity…

cs.AI2023

Estimating Uncertainty in Multimodal Foundation Models using Public Internet Data

Shiladitya Dutta, Hongbo Wei, Lars van der Laan +1

Foundation models are trained on vast amounts of data at scale using self-supervised learning, enabling adaptation to a wide range of downstream tasks. At test time, these models e…

math.ST2021★ 4 cited

Higher Order Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation

Mark van der Laan, Zeyi Wang, Lars van der Laan

Asymptotic efficiency of targeted maximum likelihood estimators (TMLE) of target features of the data distribution relies on a a second order remainder being asymptotically negligi…