15 citations · 15 across the 1 of their papers we have counts for
2 papers
cs.CY2024★ 15 cited
Hybrid Forecasting of Geopolitical Events
Daniel M. Benjamin, Fred Morstatter, Ali E. Abbas +26
Sound decision-making relies on accurate prediction for tangible outcomes ranging from military conflict to disease outbreaks. To improve crowdsourced forecasting accuracy, we deve…
econ.GN2021
Models, Markets, and the Forecasting of Elections
Rajiv Sethi, Julie Seager, Emily Cai +2
We examine probabilistic forecasts for battleground states in the 2020 US presidential election, using daily data from two sources over seven months: a model published by The Econo…