6 papers
The Role of Confounders and Linearity in Ecological Inference: A Reassessment
Shiro Kuriwaki, Cory McCartan
Estimating conditional means using only the marginal means available from aggregate data is known as the ecological inference problem. We reassess this literature, arguing that it…
Identification and Semiparametric Estimation of Conditional Means from Aggregate Data
Cory McCartan, Shiro Kuriwaki
We introduce a new method for estimating the mean of an outcome variable within groups when researchers only observe the average of the outcome and group indicators across a set of…
Cast vote records: A database of ballots from the 2020 U.S. Election
Shiro Kuriwaki, Mason Reece, Samuel Baltz +11
Ballots are the core records of elections. Electronic records of actual ballots cast (cast vote records) are available to the public in some jurisdictions. However, they have been…
Privacy Violations in Election Results
Shiro Kuriwaki, Jeffrey B. Lewis, Michael Morse
After an election, should election officials release a copy of each anonymous ballot? Some policymakers have championed public disclosure to counter distrust, but others worry that…
Evaluating Bias and Noise Induced by the U.S. Census Bureau's Privacy Protection Methods
Christopher T. Kenny, Cory McCartan, Shiro Kuriwaki +2
The United States Census Bureau faces a difficult trade-off between the accuracy of Census statistics and the protection of individual information. We conduct the first independent…
Synthetic Area Weighting for Measuring Public Opinion in Small Areas
Shiro Kuriwaki, Soichiro Yamauchi
The comparison of subnational areas is ubiquitous but survey samples of these areas are often biased or prohibitively small. Researchers turn to methods such as multilevel regressi…