263 citations · 485 across the 11 of their papers we have counts for
11 papers
The Role of Confounders and Linearity in Ecological Inference: A Reassessment
Shiro Kuriwaki, Cory McCartan
Estimating conditional means using only the marginal means available from aggregate data is known as the ecological inference problem. We reassess this literature, arguing that it…
Identification and Semiparametric Estimation of Conditional Means from Aggregate Data
Cory McCartan, Shiro Kuriwaki
We introduce a new method for estimating the mean of an outcome variable within groups when researchers only observe the average of the outcome and group indicators across a set of…
Cast vote records: A database of ballots from the 2020 U.S. Election
Shiro Kuriwaki, Mason Reece, Samuel Baltz +11
Ballots are the core records of elections. Electronic records of actual ballots cast (cast vote records) are available to the public in some jurisdictions. However, they have been…
Privacy Violations in Election Results
Shiro Kuriwaki, Jeffrey B. Lewis, Michael Morse
After an election, should election officials release a copy of each anonymous ballot? Some policymakers have championed public disclosure to counter distrust, but others worry that…
Evaluating Bias and Noise Induced by the U.S. Census Bureau's Privacy Protection Methods
Christopher T. Kenny, Cory McCartan, Shiro Kuriwaki +2
The United States Census Bureau faces a difficult trade-off between the accuracy of Census statistics and the protection of individual information. We conduct the first independent…
Comment: The Essential Role of Policy Evaluation for the 2020 Census Disclosure Avoidance System
Christopher T. Kenny, Shiro Kuriwaki, Cory McCartan +3
In "Differential Perspectives: Epistemic Disconnects Surrounding the US Census Bureau's Use of Differential Privacy," boyd and Sarathy argue that empirical evaluations of the Censu…
Widespread Partisan Gerrymandering Mostly Cancels Nationally, but Reduces Electoral Competition
Christopher T. Kenny, Cory McCartan, Tyler Simko +2
Congressional district lines in many U.S. states are drawn by partisan actors, raising concerns about gerrymandering. To separate the partisan effects of redistricting from the eff…
Simulated redistricting plans for the analysis and evaluation of redistricting in the United States
Cory McCartan, Christopher T. Kenny, Tyler Simko +5
This article introduces the 50stateSimulations, a collection of simulated congressional districting plans and underlying code developed by the Algorithm-Assisted Redistricting Meth…
Unrepresentative Big Surveys Significantly Overestimate US Vaccine Uptake
Valerie C. Bradley, Shiro Kuriwaki, Michael Isakov +3
Surveys are a crucial tool for understanding public opinion and behavior, and their accuracy depends on maintaining statistical representativeness of their target populations by mi…
Synthetic Area Weighting for Measuring Public Opinion in Small Areas
Shiro Kuriwaki, Soichiro Yamauchi
The comparison of subnational areas is ubiquitous but survey samples of these areas are often biased or prohibitively small. Researchers turn to methods such as multilevel regressi…
The Impact of the U.S. Census Disclosure Avoidance System on Redistricting and Voting Rights Analysis
Christopher T. Kenny, Shiro Kuriwaki, Cory McCartan +3
The US Census Bureau plans to protect the privacy of 2020 Census respondents through its Disclosure Avoidance System (DAS), which attempts to achieve differential privacy guarantee…