From SIR to SEAIRD: a novel data-driven modeling approach based on the Grey-box System Theory to predict the dynamics of COVID-19

Komi Midzodzi Pékpé, Djamel Zitouni, Gilles Gasso +2

Common compartmental modeling for COVID-19 is based on a priori knowledge and numerous assumptions. Additionally, they do not systematically incorporate asymptomatic cases. Our stu…