Bayesian Analysis of Quasar Lightcurves with a Running Optimal Average: New Time Delay Measurements of COSMOGRAIL Gravitationally Lensed Quasars

Fergus R. Donnan, Keith Horne, Juan V. Hernández Santisteban

We present a new method of modelling time-series data based on the running optimal average (ROA). By identifying the effective number of parameters for the ROA model, in terms of t…