27 citations · 53 across the 4 of their papers we have counts for
4 papers
Predicting Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Errors using a Probabilistic Neural Network
M. A. Fernandez, Elizabeth A. Barnes, Randal J. Barnes +4
A new method for estimating tropical cyclone track uncertainty is presented and tested. This method uses a neural network to predict a bivariate normal distribution, which serves a…
Adding Uncertainty to Neural Network Regression Tasks in the Geosciences
Elizabeth A. Barnes, Randal J. Barnes, Nicolas Gordillo
A simple method for adding uncertainty to neural network regression tasks via estimation of a general probability distribution is described. The methodology supports estimation of…
Controlled abstention neural networks for identifying skillful predictions for classification problems
Elizabeth A. Barnes, Randal J. Barnes
The earth system is exceedingly complex and often chaotic in nature, making prediction incredibly challenging: we cannot expect to make perfect predictions all of the time. Instead…
Controlled abstention neural networks for identifying skillful predictions for regression problems
Elizabeth A. Barnes, Randal J. Barnes
The earth system is exceedingly complex and often chaotic in nature, making prediction incredibly challenging: we cannot expect to make perfect predictions all of the time. Instead…