6 papers · 1 filter
Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting Using Merit-Order Curves Time Series
Guillaume Koechlin, Filippo Bovera, Piercesare Secchi
We introduce a general, simple, and computationally efficient functional data analysis framework for forecasting day-ahead supply and demand merit-order curves, and the resulting e…
Understanding Long-Term Dynamics of Individual Metro Usage: A Hidden Semi-Markov State Framework with Survival Analysis
Bingxun Wang, Valeria Maria Urbano, Shan He +4
Understanding how individual metro usage evolves over multi-year horizons is essential for transit planning and passenger retention. However, existing approaches typically characte…
A Blind Source Separation Framework to Monitor Sectoral Power Demand from Grid-Scale Load Measurements
Guillaume Koechlin, Filippo Bovera, Elena Degli Innocenti +4
As demand-side flexibility becomes increasingly necessary to integrate variable renewable energy, understanding electricity demand composition across different grid levels is essen…
Unraveling time-varying causal effects of multiple exposures: integrating Functional Data Analysis with Multivariable Mendelian Randomization
Nicole Fontana, Francesca Ieva, Luisa Zuccolo +2
Mendelian Randomization is a widely used instrumental variable method for assessing causal effects of lifelong exposures on health outcomes. Many exposures, however, have causal ef…
Three Distributional Approaches for PM10 Assessment in Northern Italy
Marco F. De Sanctis, Andrea Gilardi, Giacomo Milan +3
We propose three spatial methods for estimating the full probability distribution of PM10 concentrations, with the ultimate goal of assessing air quality in Northern Italy. Moving…
Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Public Transportation Undercrowding: Leveraging APC Data for a Comprehensive Evaluation of Usage Rates
Arianna Burzacchi, Valeria Maria Urbano, Marika Arena +3
The analysis of the transportation usage rate provides opportunities for evaluating the efficacy of the transportation service offered by proposing an indicator that integrates act…