activity
20162026
most citedA Comparison of Flare Forecasting Methods, I: Results from the "All-Clear" Workshop

228 citations · 319 across the 8 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

8 papers

astro-ph.SR2026

Addressing Known Challenges in Solar Flare Forecasting I: Limb-Flare Prediction with a 4-pi Full-Heliosphere Framework

K. D. Leka, Eric L. Wagner, Lisa Upton +3

A demonstrated failure mode for operational solar flare forecasting is the inability to forecast flares that occur near, or just beyond, the solar limb. To address this shortcoming…

astro-ph.SR2025

On the Uniqueness and Causal Relationship of Precursor Activity to Solar Energetic Events: I. Transient Brightenings -- Introduction and Overview

Karin Dissauer, Graham Barnes, KD Leka +1

The physical role played by small-scale activity that occurs before the sudden onset of solar energetic events (SEEs, i.e., solar flares and coronal mass ejections) remains in ques…

astro-ph.SR2022★ 22 cited

Properties of Flare-Imminent versus Flare-Quiet Active Regions from the Chromosphere through the Corona II: NonParametric Discriminant Analysis Results from the NWRA Classification Infrastructure (NCI)

KD Leka, Karin Dissauer, Graham Barnes +1

A large sample of active-region-targeted time-series images from the Solar Dynamics Observatory / Atmospheric Imaging Assembly, the AIA Active Region Patch database ("AARPs", Paper…

astro-ph.SR2022★ 13 cited

Properties of Flare-Imminent versus Flare-Quiet Active Regions from the Chromosphere through the Corona I: Introduction of the AIA Active Region Patches (AARPs)

Karin Dissauer, KD Leka, Eric L. Wagner

We begin here a series of papers examining the chromospheric and coronal properties of solar active regions. This first paper describes an extensive dataset of images from the Atmo…

astro-ph.SR2022★ 15 cited

On Identifying and Mitigating Bias in Inferred Measurements for Solar Vector Magnetic Field Data

K. D. Leka, Eric L. Wagner, Ana Belén Griñón-Marín +2

The problem of bias, meaning over- or underestimation, of the component perpendicular to the line-of-sight, Bperp, in vector magnetic field maps is discussed. Previous works on thi…

astro-ph.SR2018

The NWRA Classification Infrastructure: Description and Extension to the Discriminant Analysis Flare Forecasting System (DAFFS)

K. D. Leka, Graham Barnes, Eric L. Wagner

A classification infrastructure built upon Discriminant Analysis has been developed at NorthWest Research Associates for examining the statistical differences between samples of tw…

astro-ph.SR2017★ 41 cited

Evaluating (and Improving) Estimates of the Solar Radial Magnetic Field Component from Line-of-Sight Magnetograms

K. D. Leka, G. Barnes, E. L. Wagner

Although for many solar physics problems the desirable or meaningful boundary is the radial component of the magnetic field , the most readily available measurement is t…

astro-ph.SR2016★ 228 cited

A Comparison of Flare Forecasting Methods, I: Results from the "All-Clear" Workshop

G. Barnes, K. D. Leka, C. J. Schrijver +15

Solar flares produce radiation which can have an almost immediate effect on the near-Earth environment, making it crucial to forecast flares in order to mitigate their negative eff…