4 papers · 1 filter
On the role of moderator and mediator variables in conditional event attribution of heatwaves over Europe
Sebastian Buschow, Petra Friederichs, Andreas Hense
This study examines how a risk-based attribution analysis of European heat wave events under climate change varies when explanatory variables are included in the analysis. Instead…
Non-stationary time series attribution for heatwaves over Europe
Pascal Meurer, Sebastian Buschow, Svenja Szemkus +1
The increasing occurrence of extreme weather events since the beginning of the 21st century has led to the development of new methods to attribute extreme events to anthropogenic c…
Reconciling risk-based and storyline attribution with Bayes theorem
Sebastian Buschow, Petra Friederichs, Andreas Hense
The question to what extent climate change is responsible for extreme weather events has been at the forefront of public and scholarly discussion for years. Proponents of the "risk…
Local dimension and recurrent circulation patterns in long-term climate simulations
Sebastian Buschow, Petra Friederichs
With the recent advent of a sound mathematical theory for extreme events in dynamical systems, new ways of analyzing a system's inherent properties have become available: Studying…