2 papers
stat.ME2023
Reconciliation of expert priors for quantities and events and application within the probabilistic Delphi method
Kevin J. Wilson, Malcolm Farrow, Simon French +1
We consider the problem of aggregating the judgements of a group of experts to form a single prior distribution representing the judgements of the group. We develop a Bayesian hier…
stat.ME2018
Emulation of utility functions over a set of permutations: sequencing reliability growth tasks
Kevin J Wilson, Daniel A Henderson, John Quigley
We consider Bayesian design of experiments problems in which we maximise the prior expectation of a utility function over a set of permutations, for example when sequencing a numbe…