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cs.LG2024
A Counterfactual Analysis of the Dishonest Casino
Martin Haugh, Raghav Singal
The dishonest casino is a well-known hidden Markov model (HMM) often used in education to introduce HMMs and graphical models. A sequence of die rolls is observed with the casino s…
cs.LG2024
Model-Free Approximate Bayesian Learning for Large-Scale Conversion Funnel Optimization
Garud Iyengar, Raghav Singal
The flexibility of choosing the ad action as a function of the consumer state is critical for modern-day marketing campaigns. We study the problem of identifying the optimal sequen…