2 citations · 2 across the 4 of their papers we have counts for
5 papers
Forests of Uncertaint(r)ees: Using tree-based ensembles to estimate probability distributions of future conflict
Daniel Mittermaier, Tobias Bohne, Martin Hofer +1
Predictions of fatalities from violent conflict on the PRIO-GRID-month (pgm) level are characterized by high levels of uncertainty, limiting their usefulness in practical applicati…
The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction Challenge: Predicting the Number of Fatalities in Armed Conflict, with Uncertainty
Håvard Hegre, Paola Vesco, Michael Colaresi +37
This draft article outlines a prediction challenge where the target is to forecast the number of fatalities in armed conflicts, in the form of the UCDP `best' estimates, aggregated…
On the Gross order of vanishing conjecture for large vanishing orders
Martin Hofer, Sören Kleine
We prove the Gross order of vanishing conjecture in special cases where the vanishing order of the character in question can be arbitrarily large. In almost all previously known ca…
The equivariant Tamagawa Number Conjecture for abelian extensions of imaginary quadratic fields
Dominik Bullach, Martin Hofer
We prove the Iwasawa-theoretic version of a Conjecture of Mazur--Rubin and Sano in the case of elliptic units. This allows us to derive the -part of the equivariant Tamagawa num…
Construction of elliptic -units
Werner Bley, Martin Hofer
Let be a finite abelian extension of an imaginary quadratic number field . Let denote a prime ideal of lying over the rational prime . We…