3 papers
stat.AP2026
Fast, Frequentist Estimation of Epidemic Reproduction Numbers
Jeremy Goldwasser, Ryan J. Tibshirani, Alyssa Bilinski
The effective reproduction number is one of the most important indicators of epidemic dynamics. Estimating , typically from case reports or hospitalization counts, poses…
q-bio.PE2026
On the Equivalence of Instantaneous and Mechanistic Reproduction Numbers
Jeremy Goldwasser, Ryan J. Tibshirani, Alyssa Bilinski
The effective reproduction number () is widely used to track epidemic dynamics in real time. The standard estimation framework uses "instantaneous ," defined via the rene…
stat.ME2026
Nothing to See Here? A non-inferiority approach to parallel trends
Alyssa Bilinski, Laura A. Hatfield
Difference-in-differences is a popular method for observational health policy evaluation. It relies on a causal assumption that in the absence of intervention, treatment groups' ou…