activity
20142022
most citedShift-Share Designs: Theory and Inference

597 citations · 1.3k across the 13 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators
Showing econ.EMShow all

7 papers · 1 filter

econ.EM2021★ 14 cited

When Can We Ignore Measurement Error in the Running Variable?

Yingying Dong, Michal Kolesár

In many applications of regression discontinuity designs, the running variable used by the administrator to assign treatment is only observed with error. We show that, provided the…

econ.EM2021★ 58 cited

One Instrument to Rule Them All: The Bias and Coverage of Just-ID IV

Joshua Angrist, Michal Kolesár

We revisit the finite-sample behavior of single-variable just-identified instrumental variables (just-ID IV) estimators, arguing that in most microeconometric applications, the usu…

econ.EM2021★ 45 cited

Contamination Bias in Linear Regressions

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Peter Hull, Michal Kolesár

We study regressions with multiple treatments and a set of controls that is flexible enough to purge omitted variable bias. We show that these regressions generally fail to estimat…

econ.EM2020★ 5 cited

Bias-Aware Inference in Regularized Regression Models

Timothy B. Armstrong, Michal Kolesár, Soonwoo Kwon

We consider inference on a scalar regression coefficient under a constraint on the magnitude of the control coefficients. A class of estimators based on a regularized propensity sc…

econ.EM2020★ 41 cited

Robust Empirical Bayes Confidence Intervals

Timothy B. Armstrong, Michal Kolesár, Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

We construct robust empirical Bayes confidence intervals (EBCIs) in a normal means problem. The intervals are centered at the usual linear empirical Bayes estimator, but use a crit…

econ.EM2018★ 34 cited

Sensitivity Analysis using Approximate Moment Condition Models

Timothy B. Armstrong, Michal Kolesár

We consider inference in models defined by approximate moment conditions. We show that near-optimal confidence intervals (CIs) can be formed by taking a generalized method of momen…

econ.EM2018★ 597 cited

Shift-Share Designs: Theory and Inference

Rodrigo Adão, Michal Kolesár, Eduardo Morales

We study inference in shift-share regression designs, such as when a regional outcome is regressed on a weighted average of sectoral shocks, using regional sector shares as weights…