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20182026
most citedBeyond Ads: Sequential Decision-Making Algorithms in Law and Public Policy

21 citations · 54 across the 19 of their papers we have counts for

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7 papers · 1 filter

math.ST2026

Bentkus-type asymptotic e-values

Diego Martinez-Taboada, Ben Chugg, Aaditya Ramdas

Asymptotic e-values are emerging as a powerful alternative to asymptotic p-values, particularly in post-hoc inference and multiple testing, where significance levels may be data-de…

math.ST2026

Post-Hoc Large-Sample Statistical Inference

Ben Chugg, Etienne Gauthier, Michael I. Jordan +2

We derive inferential procedures for large sample sizes that remain valid under data-dependent significance levels (so-called "post-hoc valid inference"). Classical statistical too…

math.ST2025

Closed-form empirical Bernstein confidence sequences for scalars and matrices

Ben Chugg, Aaditya Ramdas

We derive a new closed-form variance-adaptive confidence sequence (CS) for estimating the average conditional mean of a sequence of bounded random variables. Empirically, it yields…

math.ST2025

Rao-Blackwellized e-variables

Dante de Roos, Ben Chugg, Peter Grünwald +1

We show that for any concave utility, the expected utility of an e-variable can only increase after conditioning on a sufficient statistic, echoing the classic Rao-Blackwell theore…

math.ST2025

On admissibility in post-hoc hypothesis testing

Ben Chugg, Tyron Lardy, Aaditya Ramdas +1

The validity of classical hypothesis testing requires the significance level be fixed before any statistical analysis takes place. This is a stringent requirement. For instance…

math.ST2024

Nonasymptotic Heavy-Tailed Mean Estimation in Smooth Banach Spaces

Justin Whitehouse, Ben Chugg, Diego Martinez-Taboada +1

We consider the problem of nonasymptotic mean estimation for heavy-tailed random variables taking values in a smooth Banach space. In particular, we extend and improve a simple tru…

math.ST2023★ 1 cited

Time-Uniform Confidence Spheres for Means of Random Vectors

Ben Chugg, Hongjian Wang, Aaditya Ramdas

We study sequential mean estimation in . In particular, we derive time-uniform confidence spheres -- confidence sphere sequences (CSSs) -- which contain the mean of r…