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stat.AP2024
Identifying good forecasters via adaptive cognitive tests
Edgar C. Merkle, Nikolay Petrov, Sophie Ma Zhu +3
Assessing forecasting performance is a time intensive activity, often requiring months or years before we know whether or not the reported forecasts were accurate. Cognitive tests…
stat.AP2018
Model Selection of Nested and Non-Nested Item Response Models using Vuong Tests
Lennart Schneider, R. Philip Chalmers, Rudolf Debelak +1
In this paper, we apply Vuong's (1989) general approach of model selection to the comparison of nested and non-nested unidimensional and multidimensional item response theory (IRT)…