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20242026
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physics.ao-ph2026

Stochastic Emulation of a Fully Coupled Preindustrial E3SMv3 Simulation

Elynn Wu, James P. C. Duncan, Troy Arcomano +11

We present a stochastic coupled emulator of E3SM version 3, built on the SamudrACE framework, which couples an atmosphere emulator (ACE2) with a full-depth ocean emulator (Samudra)…

physics.ao-ph2026

Disentangling the effects of sea surface temperature and CO in global machine learned weather-climate emulators

Spencer K. Clark, Troy Arcomano, James P. C. Duncan +8

While previous versions of the Ai2 Climate Emulator (ACE) have been trained with CO as a forcing, they are only accurate within a narrow range of scenarios, for example climate…

physics.ao-ph2026

SamudrACE: Fast and Accurate Coupled Climate Modeling with 3D Ocean and Atmosphere Emulators

James P. C. Duncan, Elynn Wu, Surya Dheeshjith +15

Traditional numerical global climate models simulate the full Earth system by exchanging boundary conditions between separate simulators of the atmosphere, ocean, sea ice, land sur…

physics.ao-ph2026

HiRO-ACE: Fast and skillful AI emulation and downscaling trained on a 3 km global storm-resolving model

W. Andre Perkins, Anna Kwa, Jeremy McGibbon +5

Kilometer-scale simulations of the atmosphere are an important tool for assessing local weather extremes and climate impacts, but computational expense limits their use to small re…

physics.ao-ph20261 cited

CondensNet: Enabling stable long-term climate simulations via hybrid deep learning models with adaptive physical constraints

Xin Wang, Jianda Chen, Juntao Yang +8

Accurate and efficient climate simulations are crucial for understanding Earth's evolving climate. However, current general circulation models (GCMs) face challenges in capturing u…

physics.ao-ph2024

Scaling transformer neural networks for skillful and reliable medium-range weather forecasting

Tung Nguyen, Rohan Shah, Hritik Bansal +6

Weather forecasting is a fundamental problem for anticipating and mitigating the impacts of climate change. Recently, data-driven approaches for weather forecasting based on deep l…