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econ.EM2025
Nowcasting and aggregation: Why small Euro area countries matter
Andrii Babii, Luca Barbaglia, Eric Ghysels +1
The paper studies the nowcasting of Euro area Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth using mixed data sampling machine learning panel data regressions with both standard macro release…
econ.EM2025
High-dimensional censored MIDAS logistic regression for corporate survival forecasting
Wei Miao, Jad Beyhum, Jonas Striaukas +1
This paper addresses the challenge of forecasting corporate distress, a problem marked by three key statistical hurdles: (i) right censoring, (ii) high-dimensional predictors, and…