35 citations · 65 across the 7 of their papers we have counts for
7 papers
Improving the sharpness in neural network-based parametric post-processing of ensemble forecasts
Ágnes Baran, Máté Mihalina
Statistical post-processing has proven to be an effective tool in improving ensemble forecast of different weather variables. Case studies show that post-processing can remedy the…
Post-processing of ensemble photovoltaic power forecasts with distributional and quantile regression methods
Martin János Mayer, Ágnes Baran, Sebastian Lerch +3
Accurate and reliable forecasting of photovoltaic (PV) power generation is crucial for grid operations, electricity markets, and energy planning, as solar systems now contribute a…
Parametric model for post-processing visibility ensemble forecasts
Ágnes Baran, Sándor Baran
Although by now the ensemble-based probabilistic forecasting is the most advanced approach to weather prediction, ensemble forecasts still might suffer from lack of calibration and…
A two-step machine learning approach to statistical post-processing of weather forecasts for power generation
Ágnes Baran, Sándor Baran
By the end of 2021, the renewable energy share of the global electricity capacity reached 38.3% and the new installations are dominated by wind and solar energy, showing global inc…
Calibration of wind speed ensemble forecasts for power generation
Sándor Baran, Ágnes Baran
In the last decades wind power became the second largest energy source in the EU covering 16% of its electricity demand. However, due to its volatility, accurate short range wind p…
Statistical post-processing of heat index ensemble forecasts: is there a royal road?
Sándor Baran, Ágnes Baran, Florian Pappenberger +1
We investigate the effect of statistical post-processing on the probabilistic skill of discomfort index (DI) and indoor wet-bulb globe temperature (WBGTid) ensemble forecasts, both…
Machine learning for total cloud cover prediction
Ágnes Baran, Sebastian Lerch, Mehrez El Ayari +1
Accurate and reliable forecasting of total cloud cover (TCC) is vital for many areas such as astronomy, energy demand and production, or agriculture. Most meteorological centres is…