3 papers
math-ph2023
Map enumeration from a dynamical perspective
Nicholas Ercolani, Joceline Lega, Brandon Tippings
This contribution summarizes recent work of the authors that combines methods from dynamical systems theory (discrete Painlevé equations) and asymptotic analysis of orthogonal poly…
q-bio.PE2021
EpiCovDA: a mechanistic COVID-19 forecasting model with data assimilation
Hannah R. Biegel, Joceline Lega
We introduce a minimalist outbreak forecasting model that combines data-driven parameter estimation with variational data assimilation. By focusing on the fundamental components of…
q-bio.PE2020
Parameter Estimation from ICC curves
Joceline Lega
Incidence vs Cumulative Cases (ICC) curves are introduced and shown to provide a simple framework for parameter identification in the case of the most elementary epidemiological mo…