activity
20182023
most citedBayesian Additive Regression Trees with Model Trees

32 citations · 53 across the 10 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

10 papers

stat.ML2023

Bayesian Additive Main Effects and Multiplicative Interaction Models using Tensor Regression for Multi-environmental Trials

Antonia A. L. Dos Santos, Danilo A. Sarti, Rafael A. Moral +1

We propose a Bayesian tensor regression model to accommodate the effect of multiple factors on phenotype prediction. We adopt a set of prior distributions that resolve identifiabil…

q-bio.PE2022★ 1 cited

Going beyond richness: Modelling the BEF relationship using species identity, evenness, richness and species interactions via the DImodels R package

Rafael A. Moral, Rishabh Vishwakarma, John Connolly +4

BEF studies aim to understand how ecosystems respond to a gradient of species diversity. Diversity-Interactions (DI) models are suitable for analysing the BEF relationship. These m…

stat.ME2022

Profiling Television Watching Behaviour Using Bayesian Hierarchical Joint Models for Time-to-Event and Count Data

Rafael A. Moral, Zhi Chen, Shuai Zhang +4

Customer churn prediction is a valuable task in many industries. In telecommunications it presents great challenges, given the high dimensionality of the data, and how difficult it…

q-bio.QM2022

Pattern-Based Prediction of Population Outbreaks

Gabriel R. Palma, Wesley A. C. Godoy, Eduardo Engel +5

Insect outbreaks are biotic disturbances in forests and agroecosystems that cause economic and ecological damage. This phenomenon depends on a variety of biological and physical fa…

stat.ML2022

Variational Inference for Additive Main and Multiplicative Interaction Effects Models

AntÔnia A. L. Dos Santos, Rafael A. Moral, Danilo A. Sarti +1

In plant breeding the presence of a genotype by environment (GxE) interaction has a strong impact on cultivation decision making and the introduction of new crop cultivars. The com…

stat.ME2022

A Bayesian Model to Estimate Abundance Based on Scarce Animal Vestige Data

Niamh Mimnagh, Iuri Ferreira, Luciano Verdade +1

We propose a modelling framework which allows for the estimation of abundances from trace counts. This indirect method of estimating abundance is attractive due to the relative aff…

stat.ML2021★ 3 cited

Accounting for shared covariates in semi-parametric Bayesian additive regression trees

Estevão B. Prado, Andrew C. Parnell, Keefe Murphy +3

We propose some extensions to semi-parametric models based on Bayesian additive regression trees (BART). In the semi-parametric BART paradigm, the response variable is approximated…

stat.ML2020★ 32 cited

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees with Model Trees

Estevão B. Prado, Rafael A. Moral, Andrew C. Parnell

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a tree-based machine learning method that has been successfully applied to regression and classification problems. BART assumes regular…

stat.ME2020★ 17 cited

Global Short-Term Forecasting of Covid-19 Cases

Thiago de Paula Oliveira, Rafael de Andrade Moral

The continuously growing number of COVID-19 cases pressures healthcare services worldwide. Accurate short-term forecasting is thus vital to support country-level policy making. The…

stat.AP2018

Modeling data with zero inflation and overdispersion using GAMLSSs

Gustavo Thomas, Luiz R. Nakamura, Rafael A. Moral +1

Count data with high frequencies of zeros are found in many areas, specially in biology. Statistical models to analyze such data started to be developed in the 80s and are still a…