4 papers
Profiling Television Watching Behaviour Using Bayesian Hierarchical Joint Models for Time-to-Event and Count Data
Rafael A. Moral, Zhi Chen, Shuai Zhang +4
Customer churn prediction is a valuable task in many industries. In telecommunications it presents great challenges, given the high dimensionality of the data, and how difficult it…
Pattern-Based Prediction of Population Outbreaks
Gabriel R. Palma, Wesley A. C. Godoy, Eduardo Engel +5
Insect outbreaks are biotic disturbances in forests and agroecosystems that cause economic and ecological damage. This phenomenon depends on a variety of biological and physical fa…
Global Short-Term Forecasting of Covid-19 Cases
Thiago de Paula Oliveira, Rafael de Andrade Moral
The continuously growing number of COVID-19 cases pressures healthcare services worldwide. Accurate short-term forecasting is thus vital to support country-level policy making. The…
Modeling data with zero inflation and overdispersion using GAMLSSs
Gustavo Thomas, Luiz R. Nakamura, Rafael A. Moral +1
Count data with high frequencies of zeros are found in many areas, specially in biology. Statistical models to analyze such data started to be developed in the 80s and are still a…