activity
20202026
most citedAnatomy of a Stablecoin's failure: the Terra-Luna case

207 citations · 297 across the 14 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

15 papers

q-fin.ST2026

Dependence-Informed Sparse Neural Architecture for Stock Return Prediction

Hongyu Lin, Yulin Chen, Yuanrong Wang +2

Using neural networks for stock return prediction typically requires choices about depth and hidden-layer width that are difficult to connect to financial interpretation. We study…

cs.LG2026

Compositional Sparsity as an Inductive Bias for Neural Architecture Design

Hongyu Lin, Antonio Briola, Yuanrong Wang +1

Identifying the structural priors that enable Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) to overcome the curse of dimensionality is a fundamental challenge in machine learning theory. Existing li…

cs.LG2026

Graph Regularized PCA

Antonio Briola, Marwin Schmidt, Fabio Caccioli +4

Multivariate data often exhibit complex dependencies that violate the assumption of isotropic residual noise. For such cases, we introduce Graph Regularized PCA (GR-PCA). It is a g…

q-fin.GN2025

Cryptocurrencies in the Balance Sheet: Insights from (Micro)Strategy -- Bitcoin Interactions

Sabrina Aufiero, Antonio Briola, Tesfaye Salarin +3

This paper investigates the evolving link between cryptocurrency and equity markets in the context of the recent wave of corporate Bitcoin (BTC) treasury strategies. We assemble a…

q-fin.TR2024

HLOB -- Information Persistence and Structure in Limit Order Books

Antonio Briola, Silvia Bartolucci, Tomaso Aste

We introduce a novel large-scale deep learning model for Limit Order Book mid-price changes forecasting, and we name it `HLOB'. This architecture (i) exploits the information encod…

q-fin.TR2024★ 5 cited

Deep Limit Order Book Forecasting

Antonio Briola, Silvia Bartolucci, Tomaso Aste

We exploit cutting-edge deep learning methodologies to explore the predictability of high-frequency Limit Order Book mid-price changes for a heterogeneous set of stocks traded on t…

q-fin.PM2023

Topological Portfolio Selection and Optimization

Yuanrong Wang, Antonio Briola, Tomaso Aste

Modern portfolio optimization is centered around creating a low-risk portfolio with extensive asset diversification. Following the seminal work of Markowitz, optimal asset allocati…

cs.LG2023★ 1 cited

Homological Convolutional Neural Networks

Antonio Briola, Yuanrong Wang, Silvia Bartolucci +1

Deep learning methods have demonstrated outstanding performances on classification and regression tasks on homogeneous data types (e.g., image, audio, and text data). However, tabu…

cs.LG2023★ 1 cited

Homological Neural Networks: A Sparse Architecture for Multivariate Complexity

Yuanrong Wang, Antonio Briola, Tomaso Aste

The rapid progress of Artificial Intelligence research came with the development of increasingly complex deep learning models, leading to growing challenges in terms of computation…

q-fin.GN2023★ 58 cited

FTX's downfall and Binance's consolidation: The fragility of centralised digital finance

David Vidal-Tomás, Antonio Briola, Tomaso Aste

This paper investigates the causes of the FTX digital currency exchange's failure in November 2022. We identify the collapse of the Terra-Luna ecosystem as the pivotal event that t…

cs.LG2023★ 1 cited

Topological Feature Selection

Antonio Briola, Tomaso Aste

In this paper, we introduce a novel unsupervised, graph-based filter feature selection technique which exploits the power of topologically constrained network representations. We m…

q-fin.GN2022★ 207 cited

Anatomy of a Stablecoin's failure: the Terra-Luna case

Antonio Briola, David Vidal-Tomás, Yuanrong Wang +1

We quantitatively describe the main events that led to the Terra project's failure in May 2022. We first review, in a systematic way, news from heterogeneous social media sources;…

q-fin.ST2022★ 18 cited

Dependency structures in cryptocurrency market from high to low frequency

Antonio Briola, Tomaso Aste

We investigate logarithmic price returns cross-correlations at different time horizons for a set of 25 liquid cryptocurrencies traded on the FTX digital currency exchange. We study…

cs.LG2021★ 6 cited

Deep Reinforcement Learning for Active High Frequency Trading

Antonio Briola, Jeremy Turiel, Riccardo Marcaccioli +2

We introduce the first end-to-end Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) based framework for active high frequency trading in the stock market. We train DRL agents to trade one unit of…

q-fin.TR2020

Deep Learning modeling of Limit Order Book: a comparative perspective

Antonio Briola, Jeremy Turiel, Tomaso Aste

The present work addresses theoretical and practical questions in the domain of Deep Learning for High Frequency Trading. State-of-the-art models such as Random models, Logistic Re…