23 citations · 23 across the 3 of their papers we have counts for
4 papers
Expected Points Above Average: A Novel NBA Player Metric Based on Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling
Benjamin Williams, Erin M. Schliep, Bailey Fosdick +1
In this paper, we propose two novel basketball metrics: ``expected points'' for team-based comparisons and ``expected points above average (EPAA)'' as a player-evaluation tool. Est…
Simulation-Based Decision Making in the NFL using NFLSimulatoR
Benjamin Williams, Will Palmquist, Ryan Elmore
In this paper, we introduce an R software package for simulating plays and drives using play-by-play data from the National Football League. The simulations are generated by sampli…
The causal effect of a timeout at stopping an opposing run in the NBA
Connor Gibbs, Ryan Elmore, Bailey Fosdick
In the summer of 2017, the National Basketball Association reduced the number of total timeouts, along with other rule changes, to regulate the flow of the game. With these rule ch…
Modeling Sums of Exchangeable Binary Variables
Ryan Elmore
We introduce a new model for sums of exchangeable binary random variables. The proposed distribution is an approximation to the exact distributional form, and relies on the theory…