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20202026
most citedA Trust Crisis In Simulation-Based Inference? Your Posterior Approximations Can Be Unfaithful

35 citations · 69 across the 8 of their papers we have counts for

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stat.ML2026

Towards Reliable Simulation-based Inference

Arnaud Delaunoy

Scientific knowledge expands by observing the world, hypothesizing some theories about it, and testing them against collected data. When those theories take the form of statistical…

stat.ML2024

Low-Budget Simulation-Based Inference with Bayesian Neural Networks

Arnaud Delaunoy, Maxence de la Brassinne Bonardeaux, Siddharth Mishra-Sharma +1

Simulation-based inference methods have been shown to be inaccurate in the data-poor regime, when training simulations are limited or expensive. Under these circumstances, the infe…

stat.ML2023

Calibrating Neural Simulation-Based Inference with Differentiable Coverage Probability

Maciej Falkiewicz, Naoya Takeishi, Imahn Shekhzadeh +4

Bayesian inference allows expressing the uncertainty of posterior belief under a probabilistic model given prior information and the likelihood of the evidence. Predominantly, the…

stat.ML2023★ 1 cited

Balancing Simulation-based Inference for Conservative Posteriors

Arnaud Delaunoy, Benjamin Kurt Miller, Patrick Forré +2

Conservative inference is a major concern in simulation-based inference. It has been shown that commonly used algorithms can produce overconfident posterior approximations. Balanci…

stat.ML2022★ 10 cited

Towards Reliable Simulation-Based Inference with Balanced Neural Ratio Estimation

Arnaud Delaunoy, Joeri Hermans, François Rozet +2

Modern approaches for simulation-based inference rely upon deep learning surrogates to enable approximate inference with computer simulators. In practice, the estimated posteriors'…

stat.ML2021★ 35 cited

A Trust Crisis In Simulation-Based Inference? Your Posterior Approximations Can Be Unfaithful

Joeri Hermans, Arnaud Delaunoy, François Rozet +3

We present extensive empirical evidence showing that current Bayesian simulation-based inference algorithms can produce computationally unfaithful posterior approximations. Our res…