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q-bio.PE2021
The SIR model towards he data. One year of Covid-19 pandemic in Italy case study and plausible "real" numbers
Ignazio Lazzizzera
In this work, the SIR epidemiological model is reformulated so to highlight the important {\em effective reproduction number}, as well as to account for the {\em generation time},…
q-bio.PE2020
An analytic approximate solution of the SIR model
Ignazio Lazzizzera
The SIR(D) epidemiological model is defined through a system of transcendental equations, not solvable by elementary functions. In the present paper those equations are successfull…