activity
20202026
most citedVolatility jumps and the classification of monetary policy announcements

1 citations · 1 across the 9 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

10 papers

q-fin.ST2026

VOLatility Archive for Realized Estimates (VOLARE)

Fabrizio Cipollini, Giulia Cruciani, Giampiero M. Gallo +3

VOLARE (VOLatility Archive for Realized Estimates - https://volare.unime.it) is an open research infrastructure providing standardized realized volatility and covariance measures c…

econ.GN2026

Electoral Polls and Economic Uncertainty: an Analysis of the Last Two U.S. Presidential Elections

Giampiero M. Gallo, Demetrio Lacava, Edoardo Otranto

This paper examines the dynamic relationship between electoral polls and indicators of economic and financial uncertainty during the last two U.S. presidential elections (2020 and…

stat.ME2026

A Matrix-Variate Log-Normal Model for Covariance Matrices

Edoardo Otranto

We propose a modeling framework for time-varying covariance matrices based on the assumption that the logarithm of a realized covariance matrix follows a matrix-variate oNrmal dist…

stat.AP2026

Clustering Methods for Identifying and Modelling Areas with Similar Temperature Variations

Edoardo Otranto

This paper proposes a novel data-driven approach for identifying and modelling areas with similar temperature variations throufigureh clustering and Space-Time AutoRegressive (STAR…

q-fin.ST2026

Trade uncertainty impact on stock-bond correlations: Insights from conditional correlation models

Demetrio Lacava, Edoardo Otranto

This paper investigates the impact of Trade Policy Uncertainty (TPU) on stock-bond correlation dynamics in the United States. Using daily data on major U.S. stock indices and the 1…

stat.AP2026

Spillovers and Co-movements in Multivariate Volatility: A Vector Multiplicative Error Model

Edoardo Otranto, Luca Scaffidi Domianello

Recent developments in financial time series focus on modeling volatility across multiple assets or indices in a multivariate framework, accounting for potential interactions such…

econ.GN2023★ 1 cited

Volatility jumps and the classification of monetary policy announcements

Giampiero M. Gallo, Demetrio Lacava, Edoardo Otranto

Central Banks interventions are frequent in response to exogenous events with direct implications on financial market volatility. In this paper, we introduce the Asymmetric Jump Mu…

stat.AP2023

On the Relationship between Markov Switching Models and Fuzzy Clustering: a Nonparametric Method to Detect the Number of States

Edoardo Otranto, Luca Scaffidi Domianello

Markov Switching models have had increasing success in time series analysis due to their ability to capture the existence of unobserved discrete states in the dynamics of the varia…

q-fin.GN2020

On Classifying the Effects of Policy Announcements on Volatility

Giampiero M. Gallo, Demetrio Lacava, Edoardo Otranto

The financial turmoil surrounding the Great Recession called for unprecedented intervention by Central Banks: unconventional policies affected various areas in the economy, includi…

q-fin.ST2020

Unconventional Policies Effects on Stock Market Volatility: A MAP Approach

Demetrio Lacava, Giampiero M. Gallo, Edoardo Otranto

Taking the European Central Bank unconventional policies as a reference, we suggest a class of Multiplicative Error Models (MEM) taylored to analyze the impact such policies have o…