activity
20052026
most citedTail Risk Constraints and Maximum Entropy

21 citations · 34 across the 7 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

7 papers

q-fin.MF2026

Yield Curves Dynamics Using Variational Autoencoders Under No-arbitrage

Fusheng Luo, H'elyette Geman

This paper introduces a physics-informed generative framework that resolves the fundamental conflict between the statistical flexibility of deep learning and the rigorous theoretic…

q-fin.CP2025

Identifying and Quantifying Financial Bubbles with the Hyped Log-Periodic Power Law Model

Zheng Cao, Xingran Shao, Yuheng Yan +1

We propose a novel model, the Hyped Log-Periodic Power Law Model (HLPPL), to the problem of quantifying and detecting financial bubbles, an ever-fascinating one for academics and p…

q-fin.ST2025

The Hype Index: an NLP-driven Measure of Market News Attention

Zheng Cao, Wanchaloem Wunkaew, Helyette Geman

This paper introduces the Hype Index as a novel metric to quantify media attention toward large-cap equities, leveraging advances in Natural Language Processing (NLP) for extractin…

q-fin.CP2024

A Hype-Adjusted Probability Measure for NLP Stock Return Forecasting

Zheng Cao, Helyette Geman

This article introduces a Hype-Adjusted Probability Measure in the context of a new Natural Language Processing (NLP) approach for stock return and volatility forecasting. A novel…

q-fin.ST2020★ 9 cited

A Sentiment Analysis Approach to the Prediction of Market Volatility

Justina Deveikyte, Helyette Geman, Carlo Piccari +1

Prediction and quantification of future volatility and returns play an important role in financial modelling, both in portfolio optimization and risk management. Natural language p…

q-fin.RM2014★ 21 cited

Tail Risk Constraints and Maximum Entropy

Donald Geman, Hélyette Geman, Nassim Nicholas Taleb

In the world of modern financial theory, portfolio construction has traditionally operated under at least one of two central assumptions: the constraints are derived from a utility…

math.PR2005★ 4 cited

Options on Hedge Funds under the High Water Mark Rule

Marc Atlan, Hélyette Geman, Marc Yor

The rapidly growing hedge fund industry has provided individual and institutional investors with new investment vehicles and styles of management. It has also brought forward a new…