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econ.EM2025

Improved inference for nonparametric regression and regression-discontinuity designs

Giuseppe Cavaliere, Sílvia Gonçalves, Morten Ørregaard Nielsen +1

Nonparametric regression and regression-discontinuity designs suffer from smoothing bias that distorts conventional confidence intervals. Solutions based on robust bias correction…

econ.EM2025

Bootstrap Diagnostic Tests

Giuseppe Cavaliere, Luca Fanelli, Iliyan Georgiev

Violation of the assumptions underlying classical (Gaussian) limit theory often yields unreliable statistical inference. This paper shows that the bootstrap can detect such violati…

econ.EM2025

Uniform Critical Values for Likelihood Ratio Tests in Boundary Problems

Giuseppe Cavaliere, Adam McCloskey, Rasmus S. Pedersen +1

Limit distributions of likelihood ratio statistics are well-known to be discontinuous in the presence of nuisance parameters at the boundary of the parameter space, which lead to s…

econ.EM2025

Beyond the Mean: Limit Theory and Tests for Infinite-Mean Autoregressive Conditional Durations

Giuseppe Cavaliere, Thomas Mikosch, Anders Rahbek +1

Integrated autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) models serve as natural counterparts to the well-known integrated GARCH models used for financial returns. However, despite the…

econ.EM2024

Parameters on the boundary in predictive regression

Giuseppe Cavaliere, Iliyan Georgiev, Edoardo Zanelli

We consider bootstrap inference in predictive (or Granger-causality) regressions when the parameter of interest may lie on the boundary of the parameter space, here defined by mean…

econ.EM2022

Adaptive information-based methods for determining the co-integration rank in heteroskedastic VAR models

H. Peter Boswijk, Giuseppe Cavaliere, Luca De Angelis +1

Standard methods, such as sequential procedures based on Johansen's (pseudo-)likelihood ratio (PLR) test, for determining the co-integration rank of a vector autoregressive (VAR) s…