Sensitivity of Indian summer monsoon rainfall forecast skill of CFSv2 model to initial conditions and the role of model biases

K Rajendran, Sajani Surendran, Stella Jes Varghese +1

We analyse Indian summer monsoon (ISM) seasonal reforecasts by CFSv2 model, initiated from January (4-month lead time, L4) through May (0-month lead time, L0) initial conditions (I…