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stat.AP2022★ 3 cited
Probabilistic Estimation and Projection of the Annual Total Fertility Rate Accounting for Past Uncertainty: A Major Update of the bayesTFR R Package
Peiran Liu, Adrian E. Raftery, Hana Sevcikova
The bayesTFR package for R provides a set of functions to produce probabilistic projections of the total fertility rates (TFR) for all countries, and is widely used, including as p…
stat.AP2017
Probabilistic Projection of Subnational Total Fertility Rates
Hana Sevcikova, Adrian E. Raftery, Patrick Gerland
We consider the problem of probabilistic projection of the total fertility rate (TFR) for subnational regions. We seek a method that is consistent with the UN's recently adopted Ba…