activity
20212023
most citedGaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty

7 citations · 9 across the 4 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

6 papers

econ.EM2023

Coarsened Bayesian VARs -- Correcting BVARs for Incorrect Specification

Florian Huber, Massimiliano Marcellino, Tobias Scheckel

Model misspecification in multivariate econometric models can strongly influence estimates of quantities of interest such as structural parameters, forecast distributions or respon…

econ.EM2022★ 2 cited

Bayesian Neural Networks for Macroeconomic Analysis

Niko Hauzenberger, Florian Huber, Karin Klieber +1

Macroeconomic data is characterized by a limited number of observations (small T), many time series (big K) but also by featuring temporal dependence. Neural networks, by contrast,…

econ.EM2022

Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models

Todd E. Clark, Florian Huber, Gary Koop +1

The relationship between inflation and predictors such as unemployment is potentially nonlinear with a strength that varies over time, and prediction errors error may be subject to…

econ.EM2021★ 7 cited

Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty

Niko Hauzenberger, Florian Huber, Massimiliano Marcellino +1

We develop a non-parametric multivariate time series model that remains agnostic on the precise relationship between a (possibly) large set of macroeconomic time series and their l…

econ.EM2021

Investigating Growth at Risk Using a Multi-country Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model

Todd E. Clark, Florian Huber, Gary Koop +2

We develop a Bayesian non-parametric quantile panel regression model. Within each quantile, the response function is a convex combination of a linear model and a non-linear functio…

econ.EM2021

Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession?

Philippe Goulet Coulombe, Massimiliano Marcellino, Dalibor Stevanovic

Based on evidence gathered from a newly built large macroeconomic data set for the UK, labeled UK-MD and comparable to similar datasets for the US and Canada, it seems the most pro…