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physics.ao-ph2024
GraphDOP: Towards skilful data-driven medium-range weather forecasts learnt and initialised directly from observations
Mihai Alexe, Eulalie Boucher, Peter Lean +11
We introduce GraphDOP, a new data-driven, end-to-end forecast system developed at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) that is trained and initialised exc…
physics.ao-ph2024
Advances in Land Surface Model-based Forecasting: A comparative study of LSTM, Gradient Boosting, and Feedforward Neural Network Models as prognostic state emulators
Marieke Wesselkamp, Matthew Chantry, Ewan Pinnington +7
Most useful weather prediction for the public is near the surface. The processes that are most relevant for near-surface weather prediction are also those that are most interactive…
physics.ao-ph2024
Data driven weather forecasts trained and initialised directly from observations
Anthony McNally, Christian Lessig, Peter Lean +11
Skilful Machine Learned weather forecasts have challenged our approach to numerical weather prediction, demonstrating competitive performance compared to traditional physics-based…