activity
20182026
most citedImplementation paradigm for supervised flare forecasting studies: a deep learning application with video data

33 citations · 78 across the 25 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

26 papers

cs.LG2026

Weighted Score-Oriented Losses for Temporally Localized Event Prediction

Edoardo Legnaro, Sabrina Guastavino, Francesco Marchetti

Operational event-detection systems are rarely assessed by pointwise accuracy alone. In anomaly detection, changepoint detection, and warning systems, the utility of an alarm depen…

astro-ph.SR2025

Predicting coronal mass ejection travel times using enhanced model-guided machine learning

M. Lampani, M. Rossi, S. Guastavino +2

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are key drivers of space weather events, posing risks to both space-borne and ground-based systems. Accurate prediction of their arrival time at Earth…

math.NA2025

Weak convergence rates for spectral regularization via sampling inequalities

Sabrina Guastavino, Gabriele Santin, Francesco Marchetti +1

Convergence rates in spectral regularization methods quantify the approximation error in inverse problems as a function of the noise level or the number of sampling points. Classic…

cs.LG2025

The Multiclass Score-Oriented Loss (MultiSOL) on the Simplex

Francesco Marchetti, Edoardo Legnaro, Sabrina Guastavino

In the supervised binary classification setting, score-oriented losses have been introduced with the aim of optimizing a chosen performance metric directly during the training phas…

cs.LG2025

Multiclass threshold-based classification and model evaluation

Edoardo Legnaro, Sabrina Guastavino, Francesco Marchetti

In this paper, we introduce a threshold-based framework for multiclass classification that generalizes the standard argmax rule. This is done by replacing the probabilistic interpr…

math.NA2025

Feature Understanding and Sparsity Enhancement via 2-Layered kernel machines (2L-FUSE)

Fabiana Camattari, Sabrina Guastavino, Francesco Marchetti +1

We propose a novel sparsity enhancement strategy for regression tasks, based on learning a data-adaptive kernel metric, i.e., a shape matrix, through 2-Layered kernel machines. The…

cs.LG2025

AI-based modular warning machine for risk identification in proximity healthcare

Chiara Razzetta, Shahryar Noei, Federico Barbarossa +17

"DHEAL-COM - Digital Health Solutions in Community Medicine" is a research and technology project funded by the Italian Department of Health for the development of digital solution…

cs.LG2025

Multiclass threshold-based classification

Francesco Marchetti, Edoardo Legnaro, Sabrina Guastavino

In this paper, we introduce a threshold-based framework for multiclass classification that generalizes the standard argmax rule. This is done by replacing the probabilistic interpr…

stat.ML2025

Physics-informed features in supervised machine learning

Margherita Lampani, Sabrina Guastavino, Michele Piana +1

Supervised machine learning involves approximating an unknown functional relationship from a limited dataset of features and corresponding labels. The classical approach to feature…

astro-ph.SR2025

Artificial Intelligence Could Have Predicted All Space Weather Events Associated with the May 2024 Superstorm

Sabrina Guastavino, Edoardo Legnaro, Anna Maria Massone +1

Space weather, driven by solar flares and Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs), poses significant risks to technological systems. Accurately forecasting these events and their impact on E…

astro-ph.SR2024

Deep Learning for Active Region Classification: A Systematic Study from Convolutional Neural Networks to Vision Transformers

Edoardo Legnaro, Sabrina Guastavino, Michele Piana +1

A solar active region can significantly disrupt the Sun Earth space environment, often leading to severe space weather events such as solar flares and coronal mass ejections. As a…

astro-ph.SR2024★ 2 cited

Extended Drag-Based Model for better predicting the evolution of Coronal Mass Ejections

Mattia Rossi, Sabrina Guastavino, Michele Piana +1

The solar wind drag-based model is a widely used framework for predicting the propagation of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) through interplanetary space. This model primarily consid…

physics.space-ph2024

Forecasting Geoffective Events from Solar Wind Data and Evaluating the Most Predictive Features through Machine Learning Approaches

Sabrina Guastavino, Katsiaryna Bahamazava, Emma Perracchione +8

This study addresses the prediction of geomagnetic disturbances by exploiting machine learning techniques. Specifically, the Long-Short Term Memory recurrent neural network, which…

stat.ML2024

Greedy feature selection: Classifier-dependent feature selection via greedy methods

Fabiana Camattari, Sabrina Guastavino, Francesco Marchetti +2

The purpose of this study is to introduce a new approach to feature ranking for classification tasks, called in what follows greedy feature selection. In statistical learning, feat…

astro-ph.SR2024

AI-FLARES: Artificial Intelligence for the Analysis of Solar Flares Data

Michele Piana, Federico Benvenuto, Anna Maria Massone +6

AI-FLARES (Artificial Intelligence for the Analysis of Solar Flares Data) is a research project funded by the Agenzia Spaziale Italiana and by the Istituto Nazionale di Astrofisica…

cs.LG2023

A comprehensive theoretical framework for the optimization of neural networks classification performance with respect to weighted metrics

Francesco Marchetti, Sabrina Guastavino, Cristina Campi +2

In many contexts, customized and weighted classification scores are designed in order to evaluate the goodness of the predictions carried out by neural networks. However, there exi…

astro-ph.SR2023★ 1 cited

Physics-driven machine learning for the prediction of coronal mass ejections' travel times

Sabrina Guastavino, Valentina Candiani, Alessandro Bemporad +7

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) correspond to dramatic expulsions of plasma and magnetic field from the solar corona into the heliosphere. CMEs are scientifically relevant because th…

astro-ph.IM2023

STIX imaging I -- Concept

Paolo Massa, Gordon. J. Hurford, Anna Volpara +17

Aims. To provide a schematic mathematical description of the imaging concept of the Spectrometer/Telescope for Imaging X-rays (STIX) on board Solar Orbiter. The derived model is th…

astro-ph.SR2022★ 1 cited

Operational solar flare forecasting via video-based deep learning

Sabrina Guastavino, Francesco Marchetti, Federico Benvenuto +2

Operational flare forecasting aims at providing predictions that can be used to make decisions, typically at a daily scale, about the space weather impacts of flare occurrence. Thi…

astro-ph.SR2021★ 33 cited

Implementation paradigm for supervised flare forecasting studies: a deep learning application with video data

Sabrina Guastavino, Francesco Marchetti, Federico Benvenuto +2

Solar flare forecasting can be realized by means of the analysis of magnetic data through artificial intelligence techniques. The aim is to predict whether a magnetic active region…

cs.LG2021

Prediction of severe thunderstorm events with ensemble deep learning and radar data

Sabrina Guastavino, Michele Piana, Marco Tizzi +5

The problem of nowcasting extreme weather events can be addressed by applying either numerical methods for the solution of dynamic model equations or data-driven artificial intelli…

astro-ph.SR2021★ 27 cited

Flare Forecasting Algorithms Based on High-Gradient Polarity Inversion Lines in Active Regions

Domenico Cicogna, Francesco Berrilli, Daniele Calchetti +6

Solar flares emanate from solar active regions hosting complex and strong bipolar magnetic fluxes. Estimating the probability of an active region to flare and defining reliable pre…

cs.LG2021★ 1 cited

Score-oriented loss (SOL) functions

Francesco Marchetti, Sabrina Guastavino, Michele Piana +1

Loss functions engineering and the assessment of forecasting performances are two crucial and intertwined aspects of supervised machine learning. This paper focuses on binary class…

cs.LG2021

Bad and good errors: value-weighted skill scores in deep ensemble learning

Sabrina Guastavino, Michele Piana, Federico Benvenuto

In this paper we propose a novel approach to realize forecast verification. Specifically, we introduce a strategy for assessing the severity of forecast errors based on the evidenc…