most citedBlackwell-Monotone Updating Rules

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econ.TH2026

Two Moments for Risk-Monotone Additive Statistics

Mark Whitmeyer

Every statistic on laws with finite pth moment that is additive across independent risks and monotone in mean-preserving spreads depends only on an additive function of the mean wh…

econ.TH2026

There Ain't No Such Thing as a Free Equilibrium

Mark Whitmeyer

I argue that there is a sense in which universal equilibrium (defined loosely) existence in games is incompatible with eschewing strictly dominated strategies and a sense in which…

econ.TH2026

Agreement and Diversity in Interpretation

Francesco Bilotta, Luca Braghieri, Collin Raymond +1

We study joint decision-making when agents agree on all primitives other than signal likelihoods. We propose a decision-theoretic measure of interpretive disagreement: a pair of su…

econ.TH2026

By Law, Every Zero-Mean Risk Is the Difference of Two Equally Distributed Risks

Mark Whitmeyer

We prove that every mean-zero probability law on the real line is the law of X-Y for some identically distributed real-valued random variables X and Y.

econ.TH2026

Multidimensional Risk Made Easy

Mark Whitmeyer

Suppose we want to assign a certainty equivalent--one number--to a multivariate risk. Which such assignments are law-invariant, monotone with respect to vector stochastic dominance…

econ.TH2026

Labels

Mark Whitmeyer

Labels -- grades, credentials, scores, ratings, ranks -- do two things. They inform receivers, and they give agents something to chase. I study optimal classification when labels m…