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20212024
most citedWhy do Random Forests Work? Understanding Tree Ensembles as Self-Regularizing Adaptive Smoothers

7 citations · 20 across the 8 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

8 papers

cs.LG2024

Deep Learning Through A Telescoping Lens: A Simple Model Provides Empirical Insights On Grokking, Gradient Boosting & Beyond

Alan Jeffares, Alicia Curth, Mihaela van der Schaar

Deep learning sometimes appears to work in unexpected ways. In pursuit of a deeper understanding of its surprising behaviors, we investigate the utility of a simple yet accurate mo…

stat.ML2024

Defining Expertise: Applications to Treatment Effect Estimation

Alihan Hüyük, Qiyao Wei, Alicia Curth +1

Decision-makers are often experts of their domain and take actions based on their domain knowledge. Doctors, for instance, may prescribe treatments by predicting the likely outcome…

stat.ML20247 cited

Why do Random Forests Work? Understanding Tree Ensembles as Self-Regularizing Adaptive Smoothers

Alicia Curth, Alan Jeffares, Mihaela van der Schaar

Despite their remarkable effectiveness and broad application, the drivers of success underlying ensembles of trees are still not fully understood. In this paper, we highlight how i…

stat.ML20237 cited

A U-turn on Double Descent: Rethinking Parameter Counting in Statistical Learning

Alicia Curth, Alan Jeffares, Mihaela van der Schaar

Conventional statistical wisdom established a well-understood relationship between model complexity and prediction error, typically presented as a U-shaped curve reflecting a trans…

stat.ML20232 cited

Accounting For Informative Sampling When Learning to Forecast Treatment Outcomes Over Time

Toon Vanderschueren, Alicia Curth, Wouter Verbeke +1

Machine learning (ML) holds great potential for accurately forecasting treatment outcomes over time, which could ultimately enable the adoption of more individualized treatment str…

stat.ME2023

Understanding the Impact of Competing Events on Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation from Time-to-Event Data

Alicia Curth, Mihaela van der Schaar

We study the problem of inferring heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) from time-to-event data in the presence of competing events. Albeit its great practical relevance, this pro…