779 citations · 1.5k across the 18 of their papers we have counts for
18 papers
The Schwitters Memorial Problem: A Car Speeds Across a Triangular Bump
William H. Press
Most drivers slow down for speed bumps, sometimes to almost a stop, as if each speed bump were a stop or yield sign. The late Roy Schwitters and I shared the view (here called the…
Correlated Confounding Variables Are Not Easily Controlled for in Large Survey Research
William H. Press
Results in epidemiology and social science often require the removal of confounding effects from measurements of the pairwise correlation of variables in survey data. This is typic…
LLM Architecture, Scaling Laws, and Economics: A Quick Summary
William H. Press
The current standard architecture of Large Language Models (LLMs) with QKV self-attention is briefly summarized, including the architecture of a typical Transformer. Scaling laws f…
"Minus-One" Data Prediction Generates Synthetic Census Data with Good Crosstabulation Fidelity
William H. Press
We propose to capture relevant statistical associations in a dataset of categorical survey responses by a method, here termed MODP, that "learns" a probabilistic prediction functio…
NYSE Price Correlations Are Abitrageable Over Hours and Predictable Over Years
William H. Press
Trade prices of about 1000 New York Stock Exchange-listed stocks are studied at one-minute time resolution over the continuous five year period 2018--2022. For each stock, in dolla…
Optimal Cross-Correlation Estimates from Asynchronous Tick-by-Tick Trading Data
William H. Press
Given two time series, A and B, sampled asynchronously at different times {t_A_i} and {t_B_j}, termed "ticks", how can one best estimate the correlation coefficient ρbetween change…