3 papers
stat.AP2024
"Minus-One" Data Prediction Generates Synthetic Census Data with Good Crosstabulation Fidelity
William H. Press
We propose to capture relevant statistical associations in a dataset of categorical survey responses by a method, here termed MODP, that "learns" a probabilistic prediction functio…
q-fin.PR2023
NYSE Price Correlations Are Abitrageable Over Hours and Predictable Over Years
William H. Press
Trade prices of about 1000 New York Stock Exchange-listed stocks are studied at one-minute time resolution over the continuous five year period 2018--2022. For each stock, in dolla…
q-fin.ST2023
Optimal Cross-Correlation Estimates from Asynchronous Tick-by-Tick Trading Data
William H. Press
Given two time series, A and B, sampled asynchronously at different times {t_A_i} and {t_B_j}, termed "ticks", how can one best estimate the correlation coefficient ρbetween change…