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3 papers
Bioclimatic change as a function of global warming from CMIP6 climate projections
Morgan Sparey, Peter M. Cox, Mark S. Williamson
Climate change is predicted to lead to major changes in terrestrial ecosystems. However, significant differences in climate model projections for given scenarios of greenhouse gas…
Emergent constraints on climate sensitivities
Mark S. Williamson, Chad W. Thackeray, Peter M. Cox +3
Despite major advances in climate science over the last 30 years, persistent uncertainties in projections of future climate change remain. Climate projections are produced with inc…
Theoretical foundations of emergent constraints: relationships between climate sensitivity and global temperature variability in conceptual models
Mark S. Williamson, Peter M. Cox, Femke J. M. M. Nijsse
There is as yet no theoretical framework to guide the search for emergent constraints. As a result, there are significant risks that indiscriminate data-mining of the multidimensio…