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20182026
most citedAIFS-CRPS: Ensemble forecasting using a model trained with a loss function based on the Continuous Ranked Probability Score

9 citations · 24 across the 7 of their papers we have counts for

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stat.ME2025

Fair Box ordinate transform for forecasts following a multivariate Gaussian law

Sándor Baran, Martin Leutbecher

Monte Carlo techniques are the method of choice for making probabilistic predictions of an outcome in several disciplines. Usually, the aim is to generate calibrated predictions wh…

physics.ao-ph2025

A multi-scale loss formulation for learning a probabilistic model with proper score optimisation

Simon Lang, Martin Leutbecher, Pedro Maciel

We assess the impact of a multi-scale loss formulation for training probabilistic machine-learned weather forecasting models. The multi-scale loss is tested in AIFS-CRPS, a machine…