activity
20182026
most citedProbability bound analysis: A novel approach for quantifying parameter uncertainty in decision-analytic modeling and cost-effectiveness analysis

6 citations · 6 across the 6 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

6 papers

stat.ML2026

Value of Information under Imprecise Probabilities: Decision-Rule-Specific Values and Fixed-Measure Envelopes on a Credal Set

Rowan Iskandar

Value-of-information (VOI) analysis is usually conducted under a single probability measure. However, in practice, the available evidence often pins the measure down only to a set.…

stat.ME2026

Imprecise Transition Matrices for Markov Cohort Models: Lower and Upper Expectations with a Practical Health Economic Application

Rowan Iskandar

In applied health research, Markov cohort models are built on a precisely specified transition probability matrix. However, in many applications, the available evidence -- transiti…

stat.ME2026

Probability Bound Analysis for Dependence Uncertainty in Risk and Decision Models

Rowan Iskandar

Risk and decision models often combine sparse marginal information, precisely specified probability distributions, and dependence assumptions that are only partly justified. Probab…

stat.AP2022

Markov cohort state-transition model: A multinomial distribution representation

Rowan Iskandar, Cassandra Berns

Markov cohort state-transition models have been the standard approach for simulating the prognosis of patients or, more generally, the life trajectories of individuals over a time…

stat.AP2020★ 6 cited

Probability bound analysis: A novel approach for quantifying parameter uncertainty in decision-analytic modeling and cost-effectiveness analysis

Rowan Iskandar

Decisions about health interventions are often made using limited evidence. Mathematical models used to inform such decisions often include uncertainty analysis to account for the…

stat.ME2018

Active learning for efficiently training emulators of computationally expensive mathematical models

Alexandra G. Ellis, Rowan Iskandar, Christopher H. Schmid +2

An emulator is a fast-to-evaluate statistical approximation of a detailed mathematical model (simulator). When used in lieu of simulators, emulators can expedite tasks that require…