3 papers
econ.EM2019
The Wisdom of a Kalman Crowd
Ulrik W. Nash
The Kalman Filter has been called one of the greatest inventions in statistics during the 20th century. Its purpose is to measure the state of a system by processing the noisy data…
econ.TH2018
Fair Odds for Noisy Probabilities
Ulrik W. Nash
We suggest that one individual holds multiple degrees of belief about an outcome, given the evidence. We then investigate the implications of such noisy probabilities for a buyer a…
q-bio.QM2018
The AgeGuess database: an open online resource on chronological and perceived ages of people aged 3-100
J. A. Barthold Jones, U. W. Nash, J. Vieillefont +3
In many developed countries, human life expectancy has doubled over the last 180 years from ~40 to ~80 years. Underlying this great advance is a change in how we age, yet our under…