4 papers · 1 filter
Monitoring the West-Nile virus outbreaks in Italy using open-access data
Marco Mingione, Francesco Branda, Antonello Maruotti +2
This paper introduces a comprehensive and original database on West Nile virus (WNV) outbreaks that have occurred in Italy from September 2012 to November 2022. We have digitized b…
Finite mixtures in capture-recapture surveys for modelling residency patterns in marine wildlife populations
Gianmarco Caruso, Pierfrancesco Alaimo Di Loro, Marco Mingione +3
In this work, the goal is to estimate the abundance of an animal population using data coming from capture-recapture surveys. We leverage the prior knowledge about the population's…
Spatial modelling of COVID-19 incident cases using Richards' curve: an application to the Italian regions
Marco Mingione, Pierfrancesco Alaimo Di Loro, Alessio Farcomeni +4
We introduce an extended generalised logistic growth model for discrete outcomes, in which a network structure can be specified to deal with spatial dependence and time dependence…
Nowcasting COVID-19 incidence indicators during the Italian first outbreak
Pierfrancesco Alaimo Di Loro, Fabio Divino, Alessio Farcomeni +4
A novel parametric regression model is proposed to fit incidence data typically collected during epidemics. The proposal is motivated by real-time monitoring and short-term forecas…