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stat.AP2025
COBASE: A new copula-based shuffling method for ensemble weather forecast postprocessing
Maurits Flos, Bastien François, Irene Schicker +2
Weather predictions are often provided as ensembles generated by repeated runs of numerical weather prediction models. These forecasts typically exhibit bias and inaccurate depende…
stat.AP2025
Improving Statistical Postprocessing for Extreme Wind Speeds using Tuned Weighted Scoring Rules
Simon Hakvoort, Bastien Francois, Kirien Whan +1
Recent statistical postprocessing methods for wind speed forecasts have incorporated linear models and neural networks to produce more skillful probabilistic forecasts in the low-t…
stat.AP2019
Comparison of statistical post-processing methods for probabilistic NWP forecasts of solar radiation
Kilian Bakker, Kirien Whan, Wouter Knap +1
The increased usage of solar energy places additional importance on forecasts of solar radiation. Solar panel power production is primarily driven by the amount of solar radiation…