214 citations · 444 across the 13 of their papers we have counts for
14 papers
From Critical Transitions to Sustainability Transformations: Phenomena, Theory, and Applications Across Disciplines
Elisabeth H. Krueger, Koustav Halder, Woi Oh +16
There has been a recent surge in the use of terms describing systemic change processes across science, policy, and public debate. The associated change phenomena are often assumed…
Quantifying the safe operating space for the Amazon rainforest under climate change and deforestation
Jonathan Krönke, Arie Staal, Jonathan F. Donges +2
The Amazon rainforest is considered one of the core tipping elements in the climate system with a potential tipping point from rainforest to savannah between 2 and 6 °C of global w…
Causal pathway from AMOC to Southern Amazon rainforest indicates stabilising interaction between two climate tipping elements
Annika Högner, Giorgia Di Capua, Jonathan F. Donges +3
Declines in resilience have been observed in several climate tipping elements over the past decades, including the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and the Amazon…
Constraining safe and unsafe overshoots in saddle-node bifurcations
Elias Enache, Oleksandr Kozak, Nico Wunderling +1
We consider a dynamical system undergoing a saddle-node bifurcation with an explicitly time dependent parameter~. The combined dynamics can be considered as a dynamical syste…
Measuring tropical rainforest resilience under non-Gaussian disturbances
Vitus Benson, Jonathan F. Donges, Niklas Boers +5
The Amazon rainforest is considered one of the Earth's tipping elements and may lose stability under ongoing climate change. Recently a decrease in tropical rainforest resilience h…
Socio-Political Feedback on the Path to Net Zero
Saverio Perri, Simon Levin, Lars O. Hedin +2
Anthropogenic emissions of CO2 must soon approach net-zero to stabilize the global mean temperature. Although several international agreements have advocated for coordinated climat…
Detecting contagious spreading of urban innovations on the global city network
Niklas H. Kitzmann, Pawel Romanczuk, Jonathan F. Donges
Only a fast and global transformation towards decarbonization and sustainability can keep the Earth in a civilization-friendly state. As hotspots for (green) innovation and experim…
What do we mean, 'tipping cascade'?
Ann Kristin Klose, Nico Wunderling, Ricarda Winkelmann +1
Based on suggested interactions of potential tipping elements in the Earth's climate and in ecological systems, tipping cascades as possible dynamics are increasingly discussed and…
Complex networks of interacting stochastic tipping elements: cooperativity of phase separation in the large-system limit
Jan Kohler, Nico Wunderling, Jonathan F. Donges +1
Tipping elements in the Earth System receive increased scientific attention over the recent years due to their nonlinear behavior and the risks of abrupt state changes. While being…
Modelling nonlinear dynamics of interacting tipping elements on complex networks: the PyCascades package
Nico Wunderling, Jonathan Krönke, Valentin Wohlfarth +6
Tipping elements occur in various systems such as in socio-economics, ecology and the climate system. In many cases, the individual tipping elements are not independent from each o…
Social tipping processes for sustainability: An analytical framework
Ricarda Winkelmann, Jonathan F. Donges, E. Keith Smith +7
Societal transformations are necessary to address critical global challenges, such as mitigation of anthropogenic climate change and reaching UN sustainable development goals. Rece…
Basin stability and limit cycles in a conceptual model for climate tipping cascades
Nico Wunderling, Maximilian Gelbrecht, Ricarda Winkelmann +2
Tipping elements in the climate system are large-scale subregions of the Earth that might possess threshold behavior under global warming with large potential impacts on human soci…
How motifs condition critical thresholds for tipping cascades in complex networks: Linking Micro- to Macro-scales
Nico Wunderling, Benedikt Stumpf, Jonathan Krönke +4
In this study, we investigate how specific micro interaction structures (motifs) affect the occurrence of tipping cascades on networks of stylized tipping elements. We compare the…
Dynamics of Tipping Cascades on Complex Networks
Jonathan Krönke, Nico Wunderling, Ricarda Winkelmann +4
Tipping points occur in diverse systems in various disciplines such as ecology, climate science, economy or engineering. Tipping points are critical thresholds in system parameters…