activity
20182023
most citedPredictive Uncertainty Estimation via Prior Networks

350 citations · 554 across the 16 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

18 papers

cs.CV2023★ 6 cited

Structural-Based Uncertainty in Deep Learning Across Anatomical Scales: Analysis in White Matter Lesion Segmentation

Nataliia Molchanova, Vatsal Raina, Andrey Malinin +7

This paper explores uncertainty quantification (UQ) as an indicator of the trustworthiness of automated deep-learning (DL) tools in the context of white matter lesion (WML) segment…

eess.IV2023★ 2 cited

Tackling Bias in the Dice Similarity Coefficient: Introducing nDSC for White Matter Lesion Segmentation

Vatsal Raina, Nataliia Molchanova, Mara Graziani +4

The development of automatic segmentation techniques for medical imaging tasks requires assessment metrics to fairly judge and rank such approaches on benchmarks. The Dice Similari…

cs.LG2023★ 1 cited

Evaluating Robustness and Uncertainty of Graph Models Under Structural Distributional Shifts

Gleb Bazhenov, Denis Kuznedelev, Andrey Malinin +2

In reliable decision-making systems based on machine learning, models have to be robust to distributional shifts or provide the uncertainty of their predictions. In node-level prob…

eess.IV2022★ 6 cited

Novel structural-scale uncertainty measures and error retention curves: application to multiple sclerosis

Nataliia Molchanova, Vatsal Raina, Andrey Malinin +6

This paper focuses on the uncertainty estimation for white matter lesions (WML) segmentation in magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). On one side, voxel-scale segmentation errors cause…

cs.LG2022★ 18 cited

Shifts 2.0: Extending The Dataset of Real Distributional Shifts

Andrey Malinin, Andreas Athanasopoulos, Muhamed Barakovic +15

Distributional shift, or the mismatch between training and deployment data, is a significant obstacle to the usage of machine learning in high-stakes industrial applications, such…

cs.CL2021

Multi-Sentence Resampling: A Simple Approach to Alleviate Dataset Length Bias and Beam-Search Degradation

Ivan Provilkov, Andrey Malinin

Neural Machine Translation (NMT) is known to suffer from a beam-search problem: after a certain point, increasing beam size causes an overall drop in translation quality. This effe…

cs.CL2021

Uncertainty Measures in Neural Belief Tracking and the Effects on Dialogue Policy Performance

Carel van Niekerk, Andrey Malinin, Christian Geishauser +5

The ability to identify and resolve uncertainty is crucial for the robustness of a dialogue system. Indeed, this has been confirmed empirically on systems that utilise Bayesian app…

cs.LG2021★ 7 cited

Shifts: A Dataset of Real Distributional Shift Across Multiple Large-Scale Tasks

Andrey Malinin, Neil Band, Ganshin +17

There has been significant research done on developing methods for improving robustness to distributional shift and uncertainty estimation. In contrast, only limited work has exami…

cs.LG2021★ 2 cited

On the Periodic Behavior of Neural Network Training with Batch Normalization and Weight Decay

Ekaterina Lobacheva, Maxim Kodryan, Nadezhda Chirkova +2

Training neural networks with batch normalization and weight decay has become a common practice in recent years. In this work, we show that their combined use may result in a surpr…

cs.LG2021★ 8 cited

Scaling Ensemble Distribution Distillation to Many Classes with Proxy Targets

Max Ryabinin, Andrey Malinin, Mark Gales

Ensembles of machine learning models yield improved system performance as well as robust and interpretable uncertainty estimates; however, their inference costs may often be prohib…

cs.CL2020

Ensemble Distillation Approaches for Grammatical Error Correction

Yassir Fathullah, Mark Gales, Andrey Malinin

Ensemble approaches are commonly used techniques to improving a system by combining multiple model predictions. Additionally these schemes allow the uncertainty, as well as the sou…

cs.LG2020★ 18 cited

Regression Prior Networks

Andrey Malinin, Sergey Chervontsev, Ivan Provilkov +1

Prior Networks are a recently developed class of models which yield interpretable measures of uncertainty and have been shown to outperform state-of-the-art ensemble approaches on…

cs.LG2020★ 34 cited

Uncertainty in Gradient Boosting via Ensembles

Andrey Malinin, Liudmila Prokhorenkova, Aleksei Ustimenko

For many practical, high-risk applications, it is essential to quantify uncertainty in a model's predictions to avoid costly mistakes. While predictive uncertainty is widely studie…

stat.ML2020★ 32 cited

Uncertainty Estimation in Autoregressive Structured Prediction

Andrey Malinin, Mark Gales

Uncertainty estimation is important for ensuring safety and robustness of AI systems. While most research in the area has focused on un-structured prediction tasks, limited work ha…

stat.ML2019★ 67 cited

Reverse KL-Divergence Training of Prior Networks: Improved Uncertainty and Adversarial Robustness

Andrey Malinin, Mark Gales

Ensemble approaches for uncertainty estimation have recently been applied to the tasks of misclassification detection, out-of-distribution input detection and adversarial attack de…

stat.ML2019

Ensemble Distribution Distillation

Andrey Malinin, Bruno Mlodozeniec, Mark Gales

Ensembles of models often yield improvements in system performance. These ensemble approaches have also been empirically shown to yield robust measures of uncertainty, and are capa…

stat.ML2018★ 3 cited

Prior Networks for Detection of Adversarial Attacks

Andrey Malinin, Mark Gales

Adversarial examples are considered a serious issue for safety critical applications of AI, such as finance, autonomous vehicle control and medicinal applications. Though significa…

stat.ML2018★ 350 cited

Predictive Uncertainty Estimation via Prior Networks

Andrey Malinin, Mark Gales

Estimating how uncertain an AI system is in its predictions is important to improve the safety of such systems. Uncertainty in predictive can result from uncertainty in model param…