6 papers
Volatility in Prediction Markets: A Structural Approach
Weiye Xi, Ciamac C. Moallemi, Mallesh Pai +1
Forward-looking volatility forecasts are central inputs to derivatives pricing, market making, risk management, and volatility-linked trading strategies, with ARCH and GARCH models…
A Complete Answer to ErdÅs Problem 690
Shouqiao Wang, Davide Crapis
Let \(d_k(p)\) denote the natural density of positive integers whose \(k\)-th smallest prime divisor is \(p\). ErdÅs asked whether, for each fixed \(k\), the sequence \(p\mapsto d…
Profit is the Red Team: Stress-Testing Agents in Strategic Economic Interactions
Shouqiao Wang, Marcello Politi, Samuele Marro +1
As agentic systems move into real-world deployments, their decisions increasingly depend on external inputs such as retrieved content, tool outputs, and information provided by oth…
Proof of Sampling: A Nash Equilibrium-Based Verification Protocol for Decentralized Systems
Yue Zhang, Shouqiao Wang, Sijun Tan +3
This paper introduces the Proof of Sampling (PoSP) protocol, a Nash Equilibrium-based verification mechanism, and its application to decentralized machine learning inference throug…
A Framework for Combined Transaction Posting and Pricing for Layer 2 Blockchains
Shouqiao Wang, Davide Crapis, Ciamac C. Moallemi
This paper presents a comprehensive framework for transaction posting and pricing in Layer 2 (L2) blockchain systems, focusing on challenges stemming from fluctuating Layer 1 (L1)…
GOD model: Privacy Preserved AI School for Personal Assistant
PIN AI Team, Bill Sun, Gavin Guo +7
Personal AI assistants (e.g., Apple Intelligence, Meta AI) offer proactive recommendations that simplify everyday tasks, but their reliance on sensitive user data raises concerns a…