5 papers
When do prophets profit in prediction markets?
Anri Gu, Nicole Kagan, Alec Sun +2
Prediction markets aggregate dispersed beliefs into prices that act as probabilistic forecasts of uncertain events. Classical theory establishes a clean equivalence between forecas…
AI Realtor: Towards Grounded Persuasive Language Generation for Automated Copywriting
Jibang Wu, Chenghao Yang, Yi Wu +5
This paper develops an agentic framework that employs large language models (LLMs) for grounded persuasive language generation in automated copywriting, with real estate marketing…
LLM-as-a-Prophet: Understanding Predictive Intelligence with Prophet Arena
Qingchuan Yang, Simon Mahns, Sida Li +3
Forecasting is not only a fundamental intellectual pursuit but also is of significant importance to societal systems such as finance and economics. With the rapid advances of large…
An Isotonic Mechanism for Overlapping Ownership
Jibang Wu, Haifeng Xu, Yifan Guo +1
Motivated by the problem of improving peer review at large scientific conferences, this paper studies how to elicit self-evaluations to improve review scores in a natural many-to-m…
Robust Stackelberg Equilibria
Jiarui Gan, Minbiao Han, Jibang Wu +1
This paper provides a systematic study of the robust Stackelberg equilibrium (RSE), which naturally generalizes the widely adopted solution concept of the strong Stackelberg equili…